Will Karl Rove Tell Us It’s Too Late for Christie Too?

They Think We Can Win With This Guy?

I should be fair.  It’s not simply Karl Rove, but the whole GOP establishment class(which George Will says doesn’t exist,) demonstrating this double-standard in media punditry.  Despite her impertinence in other respects, at least S.E. Cupp included Christie in her demanding article of Friday, but I’m beginning to wonder if all of the attention on Christie isn’t intended for another purpose.  While it’s difficult to stomach the hypocrisy of those who have argued that it’s too late for a Palin entry, saying precious little about a prospective Christie entry in the same context,  this could be a media phenomenon with another purpose entirely.  What if by holding forth all of  this Christie speculation, the GOP establishment is trying to accomplish something else entirely?  What could that be?  With the sudden spectacle of an accelerated primary calendar, we must consider what else may be afoot.

The Bush people are still strong in Florida, much as they remain in Texas.  The recent move of Florida’s GOP primary to January was done with the advice and blessing of the GOP establishment there.  This is widely seen as a way to prop up Romney, and to lessen the impact of insurgents, particularly of the Tea Party stripe.  It may also be a manner in which to eliminate down-ballot challengers in what otherwise would have been hotly-contested congressional primaries.

The GOP establishment understands that if they are to have their guy, they probably will need to go with Mitt. They may view him as imperfect to their ends, but he’s close enough, and they think he can win a general election against Obama (if there is one.)  What moving the primaries up does to candidates is to shorten the time they have to grab mind-share in the electorate.  At present, Romney is probably the clear front-runner, and to kill off any insurgents will require them to get this over with quickly.

At the same time, Christie may be used as a delaying tactic.  If they can cause Palin to hold of just a while longer in entering, assuming she will, then the longer she holds off, the narrower her window will be, particularly in light of this accelerated schedule.   For reasons we’ve discussed at length, there are many good reasons for Palin to hold off in the conventional schedule, and the GOP establishment knows this which is why they spent the entirety of the spring and summer trying to goad her into an earlier entry, to which they would have responded with a Christie or Daniels or even Jeb Bush.

With Romney now having withstood a serious challenge for the top spot by Rick Perry, they’ve come back around to the realities which may mean that they’re left with Romney as their best remaining bet.  Don’t be surprised that after another week of speculation, Christie comes out and says “Well, it’s just way too late now folks.”  This will then be used as a way to hammer Palin if she enters thereafter, so as to attack her with their continuing meme of sabotage.  Of course, she’ll quickly overcome that narrative, and the establishment knows it too, which is why they’ve hurried up the primary schedule:  They will try to knock Palin out by depriving her of the time she needs to carry the ball all the way down the field in time to score.  I believe this underestimates Palin’s appeal by a fair margin, and it may be the establishment’s last available timing-based play to keep her from the nomination if she chooses to pursue it.

If she gets in before Christie swears off his own entry, he might not demur at all, leaping in behind her, saying that while he thought it’s too late, if Palin can make a go of it, so can he.  What all of this may boil down to is an attempt by the establishment to wrest control of the timing card from Palin.  They’re trying to place Christie into the position she has occupied all these months, and the willing media, particularly FoxNews, is willing to go along.  The liberal press will go for anything that creates turmoil in the GOP, particularly between the establishment and the base, so they’re along for their part in this whole thing.

As I suspected, it will come down to careful timing, and as I believe based on previous instances, Governor Palin may be the master of this sort of thing.  She has demonstrated very good instincts and this close to the end of the beginning, I don’t think she’s likely to make any missteps, thereby turning it into what the establishment hopes will bethe beginning of the end.  Expect the unexpected, and be ready to roll.

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  • http://gravatar.com/nikandjam Nik Andjam

    it's hard to imagine the establishment GOP to be that stupid, on the other hand, judging by 2008 they must be.

    they keep moving to the center with candidates and ultimately losing elections because of it

    • http://www.markamerica.com MarkAmerica

      BINGO!

      • pil

        A+++

  • Patty Henry

    My hope is that Sarah will announce next weekend and then Go to KOREA and make her vital speech. I think that is and has been her plan to Announce in St. Louis with BECK. She can't worry about
    Christie. He's good at one-liners but I don't see him as 'ready' yet in all areas to take on Obama, liar that he is, and Palin clearly is. I like Cain too. I'd love to see PALIN/CAIN ticket or PALIN/RUBIO ticket.
    I do think we'll know within two weeks for sure!

  • pil

    brilliant piece. I agree completely.

  • http://twitter.com/MinneMike Michael Wiley (@Minn

    A couple of points:

    (1) The republican establishment is pushing Christie (before it was Daniels and Paul Ryan) because they know Romney has hit the ceiling at roughly 20% of the GOP electorate, but

    (2) They fail to realize that Christie will only pull from Romney.

    If this is a timing of an announcement game, Sarah is sitting with 4 Aces. She has 90 percent name recognition; whereas Christie is known almost exclusively in the Northeast.

    Sarah can afford to wait until the very last moment, and should.

  • http://twitter.com/MinneMike Michael Wiley (@Minn

    As to the Florida situation, that is another matter. Moving up the primary schedule surely helps Romney. The reason: While Romney is hitting a ceiling at 20%, the conservative-Tea Party side (arguably, Perry, Bachmann, Santorum, Johnson, Gingrich) is fractured. It will require time for some of them to drop out.

  • Anne

    In a world where timing is everything and perception is reality, the truth lay waiting

    I believe all he!! is about to break loose.

    Sarah Palin- America's Daughter

  • http://pending shofarfive

    Interesting! Would also not put it past the Narcissist-in Chief to attempt a Chicago style street thug action to in some way postpone the 2012 elections. He then would become an immediate target for removal by whatever means. Hopefully he is not that stupid, but sometimes stupidity has nothing to do with it. His activities must be monitored ever so closely. There indeed may be several among his cadre of followers who would spill the beans on such a draconian maneuver on Obama's part.
    As much as I like Sarah Palin, not sure she can get over the hump of the media's attempted assassination of her person and character, but she is a fighter and is in the encampment of God himself, and if she is his chosen for such a time as this, all Hell could rage, and she could not be stopped.

    • Stand Taker

      I believe God's favor is on Sarah and it's her time. No evil can subvert God's will. She'll be the first female U.S. president, book it.

      And she'll be sure to appoint a conservative to Ginsburg's spot on the SC. Hugely important over the next few years.

  • Frank May

    Go to this link: http://www.palintv.com/

    Does this give a hint of things to come?

    • http://www.markamerica.com MarkAmerica

      Saw it earlier Frank!

      • PalinSupporter2012

        I think this is belongs to Sheya, the owner of Palin4America.com. It did have a lot of videos for Palin. It was just recently taken offline.

    • Sheya

      Please do not read much into that. The site is down for a long over due major overhaul. The site was having many issues I had no choice but take it down for a revamp.

  • Gwen

    As seen in this picture Christie is all politician. The fact that so many are hurting due to Obama's rule means nothing to the establishment! They make a mockery of us and yet we are supposed to trust them with our future!

  • Patty Henry

    #1. Many, many of us thought of Sarah as our LAST, BEST HOPE. WE know what needs to be done. WE needed a CANDIDATE with guts and will to fight – nationally recognized person who COULD win. #2. They told her in AK that she didn't have a CHANCE to beat Murkowski for GOV. and she slaughtered him 40 points! #3. WE have fought for her, argued for her, taken on our family and friends for her and changed many minds…and then…she quit. She didn't find THE candidate and go and get behind THEM, she quit. She'll never get to run again. #4. WE don't NEED her to tell us what to do, or what is wrong. WE KNOW. Some of her "calls" were right, some miserably wrong: Sharron Angle who BLEW a great opportunity because she was ditzy and didn't grasp her once in a life time opportunity…or Christine O'Donnell..lazy, con-artist. Marcos RUBIO was a no-brainer. Haley (SC GOV) was a no-brainer. I'm disgusted with myself for spending 4 hrs a day for 3 years believing and blogging and working for Sarah Palin. SHE could have won in a landslide…who cares what "Republican polls " said??? Thats the same stuff they said in the GOV'S race in AK. What more could they have said about her family?? She quit. I guess that Herman CAIN is the only Conservative we can begin to trust. YOU'VE done a great job of defending her Mark. This has no defense. WE needed a CANDIDATE…not "advice"… What a sad time…end times for America.

    • Frank May

      http://www.ushistory.org/paine/crisis/c-01.htm
      I suggest you read "The Crisis".

      Sarah Palin has always said, "It's not about me [Sarah Palin]."

      Read "The Crisis" and get back to us……

      • Patty Henry

        1. I don't have time to read anything now, I'd spent so much time blogging for Palin that I'm way behind. 2. I don't need strategy (I've run and won – never lost- campaigns) I wanted a CANDIDATE. there are a billion side walk supervisors. WE needed a Candidate. HERMAN CAIN has my support now. I watched him flatten Lawrence O'Donnell and I hope you guys will come to him too. NO way on the CORPORATE RAIDER (unless that's all I can vote for but only if he has CAIN as VEEP if CAIN doesn't win himself. NO WAY on PERRY. HE's no different than any progressive. SARAH could have won. I
        think her son discouraged her because of his marriage and didn't want to be subjected to what Bristol went through. I can't blame him but he put himself in front of COUNTRY, if that is what happened. IT's MOOT now. She's lost her edge… her power was her threat to run. Now she's just another person and I am so disappointed …I was so sure she was THE ONE that GOD has chosen. I am not against her…I'm just not going to spend any more time on her. What time I have HAS to go to CAIN now.