Super Tuesday Round-up

Bigg Winner?

The key to Tuesday’s primary elections was Ohio.  RINO  Romney was the winner as he squeaked by Santorum by virtue of the urban vote.  Of  course, Ohio isn’t everything, but RINO Romney also wrapped up Alaska, Idaho, Massachusetts, Vermont, and Virginia.  Gingrich captured Georgia, and Santorum won in Oklahoma, North Dakota, and Tennessee.   Some are saying this means it is all but over, but the way to look at this is not what the media will tell you, but what you should be able to discern is what the media is doing its best to disguise.

Consider the following:

  • Romney won in Virginia with only one opponent – Ron Paul – and by less than a 20% margin.
  • Romney won in Vermont, a state that elected Bernie Sanders, a pure socialist.
  • Romney won in Massachusetts, another deep blue state, that he calls home, and in which he was governor.
  • Romney won in Idaho where Mormons make up a goodly proportion of the electorate.
  • Romney won in Alaska with the support of Murkowski.
  • Romney won in Ohio by a slim margin that will mean that if Santorum had simply been eligible for more of the delegates, it would have been a tie for all intents and purposes.

What this should tell you is what has been apparent all along:  Romney can win the Republican primaries in blue states because they are blue states, but in Southern states, he’s mostly a no-go, and in the Midwest, it’s a toss-up.  Let me explain how this helps translate to a Romney victory in a general election against Barack Obama:

It doesn’t.

Mitt Romney can squeak by against a divided conservative vote, and in the South, he’s in trouble, but he hopes it won’t matter since once he’s the nominee, the Republicans there will support him.  Don’t count on it. He may lose several close races simply because too much of the base sees no qualitative difference between he and Barack Obama.

I also noticed during the coverage that Fox and some of its commentators couldn’t let the analysis of Ohio pass without mentioning that the rural counties were poorly educated by comparison to the counties that went for RINO Romney.  That’s right, you folks outside the urban and suburban counties are just hicks and rubes who are too stupid to vote for Mitt, at least according to some Fox analysts.

Here’s the matter in a nut-shell.  When this nomination fight is over, if it goes more or less like it has, with Santorum and Gingrich battling for the Southern states, and Romney and Santorum battling in the Midwest, with Romney romping in deep blue or purple states, Romney will get the nomination.  However, as soon as he faces Barack Obama, he will lose all of those blue and purple states, and some of the traditionally red Midwest states will go purple, and maybe one or more of the Southern red states as well.

This translates into a Romney loss to Obama roughly equal to McCain’s. Romney will carry the same states, give or take a couple, that John McCain captured in 2008.  That’s the truth of it.  I think the GOP establishment knows it too, which is why they’re supporting Romney.  He’s their favorite alternative to Obama, should the President fumble, but I believe the GOP establishment wants four more years of Obama, and I believe they’re well on their way to successfully engineering that outcome.

Too many conservatives are telling me they will not support Romney in November, choosing instead to sit it out.  They just don’t see why they should bother.  They look at Romney and see another John McCain, but without even the benefit of Sarah Palin to back him up.  There’s a certain sense of fatalism among many conservatives, and I can’t blame them.  Let it never be said that the GOP establishment hadn’t been warned, but then again, maybe it’s what they want.

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5 Responses to Super Tuesday Round-up

  1. Daffydukz28 says:

    But why, why does the establishment want to loose. My gosh,,Mitt couldn’t even beat McCain?? I believe they think it boils down to money,,Mitt has the buck to smear BO,,,that’s all well and fine,,,but he doesn’t have the ideas and skills to debate BO about it. I am telling you…………you will never see anything so hateful and ugly till you see what Team Obama is going to do. They will get up there in a debate and lie mega lies.  They have no morals at all. I just don’t think that Mitt can handle it.

  2. Supertx says:

    Daffy, we might consider that many of the RINO’s want the same things as the Dems, so an “Obama Lite” works very well for them.

  3. Bigmamas52 says:

    Let me just say that Romney only won Alaska by 425 votes.  The Alaska PPP was an absolute joke and badly mishandled to say the least, and many of us felt disenfranchised.  Vitually NO ONE I have spoken to since yesterday, even knew we could vote.  There was no advertising, no mention in the papers.  When my daughter called the state election board she was told they were unaware of any election, but the state GOP would be in charge of a Republican “primary”.  Calls to the state GOP went unanswered.  We were only allowed 4 hours to vote, from 4-8pm.  There was only 1 location to vote for the largest area in the state, several thousand square miles, AND the most conservative where Santorum or Newt would have done better.  It took my husband over an hour in line to vote because none of the volunteers seemed to know how it was supposed to work.  The only place we finally found where and when we could vote was from a liberal, online newspaper up here, that posted the info.  I and others have already called and written the state GOP, but this is just one example, in one state, how this process is manipulated by the establishment to favor their choice, Romney.

  4. Cbartlett says:

    In addition, Mitt is ripe material for the class envy argument. Obama and his minions have been setting up the whole class envy thing for months in anticipation of him as the opponent. Class envy is the one thing the sheeple will fall for. Mitt doesn’t stand a chance in he**.

  5. the unit says:

    “Round’em up, Move’em out…Rawhide.”  Now substitute  Rinohide.
    Need some Rino “Death Valley Days.”  Someone is quoted as saying liberty requires blood of tyrants and patriots from time to time…who was that again?  Maybe Bill  “Beating a Dead Pig” Maher… maybe, just kidding of course.   How about spraying rino contrails over MidEast? Rino pigs never learn…real elephants never forget…as to what will save country.  Need more real elephants with good memory.