After Florida…

Florida's Rotten Fruit

I know that for some, this will strike some as a contradictory note compared with what I wrote on Tuesday evening, but it’s not if you’re reading carefully.  On Tuesday evening, what I told you is that Floridians just voted to re-elect Obama, and I firmly believe that.  The problem is, Florida is an important state, but it’s hardly the be-all, end-all the Republican establishment will spend the next several weeks pretending it had been.  My post on Florida of Tuesday evening should serve as a warning to others, who hold strong conservative and Tea Party values: I believe 2012 will be a watershed year, and the identity of the Republican party’s nominee will define the election.  If we select a conservative who voters can differentiate substantially from Obama on the most important issues of our time, we can win.  If we vote a barely-right-of-Obama candidate, who has similar big government leanings, we will lose, and we may well lose the House, never mind regaining the Senate, but what I need you to understand is that this contest is not yet over.

I’ve explained at length all the reasons Romney can’t win, and I’m certain most readers here can tick them off like a shopping list of items, but by now, we all realize that one thing militates against a Romney victory more than any other:  Romney-care.  It’s effectively the ultimate death-knell of his campaign, and he can’t use it in the general, which is why he’s using it in the primary.  In the general campaign, Obama will absolutely slay Romney with his pathetic “states’ rights” argument, because in truth, even Obama knows that’s nothing but a useless dodge.  Don’t misunderstand:  Obama is fine with Romney-care – it served as the model for his own healthcare reform – but he knows Romney can’t speak of it without doing damage to himself minimally equal to any he might inflict on Obama.

Can Romney claim “Obamacare will bankrupt the nation?”  He can’t if he wants to avoid Obama  reminding voters that Romney’s own program is bankrupting Massachusetts already.  Obama will say his is different enough to bankrupt the nation, and of course, he will use the claims of “social justice” and “civil rights” in opposition to the “states’ rights” argument.  In truth, I can’t imagine how Romney doesn’t wind up yielding on this issue.  I can’t see how he presses it, and frankly, I can also see Obama attacking his position on repeal, which may not help Obama with independents, but it will be his rallying cry to his base.  He will dangle the carrott of its benefits before the eyes of his supporters, while whipping them with the stick of Romney’s promised repeal, and there Romney will stand, flat-footed, neither able to respond in defense or in counterattack, neutered forevermore on the subject.

I keep stressing these points because what you must know is that Florida can still be the aberration and not the trend-setter.  One of the problems we face is turn-out in the coming primaries and caucuses, because Obama’s goons have nothing better to do than to give us our candidate.  In Florida, it was largely Broward and Dade counties that gave Romney his margin of victory, and this should tell you everything: Those are overwhelmingly Democrat-heavy counties, and that Romney did so well in them offers you a clue as to the real identity of many Romney voters there. You can be assured that a large number of Democrats cross-registered so they could vote in the Republican primary, since they already know who their own nominee will be.

Here I sit in Texas, and as anecdotal as it may seem, I know several hundred people here well enough to know where they stand at the moment on the primary race, and what I can tell you is this:  I don’t know a soul among them who wants Romney.  Ron Paul? Sure, a few dozen. Rick Santorum? A few dozen more.  Newt Gingrich?  He has a commanding lead among the Republicans I know, but among Democrats, and left-leaning independents, the answer is unanimous:  Romney.  Some of them have already told me they have registered last year as Republicans so they could vote Romney in the primary.  It’s the plan, you see.

The only way to overcome all of this is for conservatives and Tea Party folk to unite and overcome Romney. Florida’s result need only be as meaningful as you allow.  It needn’t be a trend-setter.  As I’ve explained at length, I don’t believe Romney can win in November, but there is still plenty of time to prevent that from being our sole choice. Romney isn’t a winning campaigner, and while any who oppose him must overcome his bankroll, as I explained on Tuesday, that needn’t be the driving force. It’s now up to you: Lose with Romney or win with a conservative(or at least such reasonable facsimile as we can muster.)  Mitt’s not inevitable just yet.

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8 Responses to After Florida…

  1. IndependentMom says:

    I posted this over at BG I think people need a pep talk so I'm posting it here too.

    The MSM, the Democrats and even the Republican ruling elite may think this is all sewn up for them and Mitt but WE THE PEOPLE have over come a Revolutionary War, Civil War, two World Wars, and too many undeclared wars, along with lots of internal strife over the history of this GREAT country.

    We can overcome Mitt Romney and the establishment. We can and will overcome Obama.

    As Newt stated "we beat Germany, Italy and Japan in less than 4 years" Americans are still a proud, great bunch of people we have just been beaten down for the last three years being told there isn't anything we can do so many are giving up thinking it is over. It isn't by a long shot!

    We need our own DooLittle Raid to get us back on our feet. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Doolittle_Raid

    We have not yet begun to fight ***unless*** we give up!

    I will not give up until it is over! Time to put our boots on and start thinking creatively and get someone in there that can get us back on course. We can do this people there are more of us than there are of them.

    We know the rules that Obama is playing by, we know how Mitt intends to play dirty. Time to gather the wagons get around someone and win this country back!

  2. Gail says:

    Newt gave a rousing speech last night in Florida…even my husband who was leaning toward Romney is now rooting for Newt…we both support Newt now and that is a good feeling.

  3. Peg Gentle says:

    Looks like our voting laws or lack thereof will be our enemy ultimately. I had thought of the possibility that Dems would declare themselves to be Republican just to get a vote in for Romney. I see that is probably what got Romney a win. We have to anticipate these things and yet what could have been done about that in Florida? As I see it, nothing. We're up against a sly opponent and we'd better get very very wise or we'll not see a victory. We must get organized and clever! The "sunshine soldiers" won't win this battle. Dedicated folks from every possible corner of America MUST appear and get into this battle or we'll lose to the machine!

  4. C.A. Bamford says:

    If we are truly committed to fundamentally restoring this country, we have to do our part. A few buck isn't much, but an avalanche of small donations can make the difference. As Congressman Dan Benishek of Michigan said, "A river is filled one raindrop at a time."Let's start a downpour.
    Donate at http://www.newt.org.

  5. Adrienne says:

    If we had real men running they would gather in a backroom and discuss how to beat Obama, which is really the issue. If they did this, Santorum and Paul would not only get out, they would throw all their resources (including campaigning) to Newt.

    As it is, I fear another 4 years of Obama…

  6. CPB says:

    Romney got less than 50% in all of the states so far. That means more than 50% DOESN'T want him. We just need to rally all of the anti-Romney's.

  7. JRD says:

    The Democrats did the same thing in 2008 to award the Florida primary to McLame. The GOP elites are well aware that the Democrats are capable of picking our candidate in Florida. They were banking on it. Many New Yorkers who have winter homes here have registered to vote in Florida as they know their vote is not needed in New York. They register as Republicans in order to vote in our primary. Trust me, the corrupt GOP Machine in Florida wants it that way.

  8. SOUTH FLORIDA: BROWARD, FT LAUDERDALE, AND PALM BEACH COUNTIES ARE 62 TO 38 DEMOCRAT. MIAMI DADE IS 50/50. THE MIAMI CUBANS ARE HEAVILY REPUBLICAN. THE THREE CONGRESSIONAL CUBANS WENT FOR ROMNEY DUE TO OLD BAD BLOOD WITH NEWT FROM THE 90'S. THAT COST NEWT ABOUT 40,000 VOTES. ALONG WITH THE UNANSWERED $17 MILLION OF FALSE NEGATIVE ADS, TURNING OFF AND SUPRESSING SOME TEA PARTY AND CHRISTIAN COALATION VOTERS, COST NEWT OVER ANOTHER 100,000 PLUS VOTES IN COUNTIES NORMALLY TO CONSERVATIVE TO VOTE FOR ROMNEY. THATS WHAT DID NEWT IN, EVEN WITH MARCO RUBIO'S CAMPAIGN MANAGER.