Posts Tagged ‘Rasmussen’

The Demoralization Campaign Against You

Saturday, September 3rd, 2022

They MUST shut you down…

The media has been pushing a large number of fake polls lately, all intended to do two things: In the first place, the polls are designed to demoralize you and keep you home on election day.  The idea is to make you believe that your vote won’t matter, and that your candidates can’t win.  In the second instance, they’re designed to make it plausible when they cheat.  They fully intend to cheat, but they know if you show up in legions, their efforts are likely to fall short.  In other words, they know if you flood the polls on election day, they will have a very difficult time rigging and cheating enough to pull off wins in many districts and Senate races.  It’s that simple: Convince you that defeat is inevitable so that they have a chance to steal the elections.  You must not fall for that, and while people who read this site are the sort disinclined to fall prey to such games, the truth is that every reader here knows many people who are likely to do so.  It’s up to us.  We have to get the vote out.  We have to drag folks to the polls.  We have to convince them that their way of life is on the line, because, in point of fact, it is.  This is no time to go wobbly, as the Iron Lady cautioned.  This is the time to push like Hell, and shove this election down their throats, or, as Steve Bannon likes to say, we need to give them a “Democracy Suppository.”

In part or in whole, the Mar-a-Lago raid was timed to hit the day after Trump’s CPAC Texas speech, which had been a barn-burner, and really energized MAGA. That’s the giveaway.  In Biden’s dark speech on the 1st of September from Independence Hall, he specifically mentioned the energized nature of MAGA republicans, and that’s no accident.  It’s also why he sought to separate “MAGA republicans” from what he termed “mainstream republicans.”  He wants to divide and demoralize republicans going into the mid-terms, and to understand why, let’s look closely at what actual polls show us. Richard Baris, the “PeoplesPundit” on Twitter, who’s done some of the most exhaustive and accurate work in discerning the actual dynamics of electorates in the last few elections, and who has figured out how to more reliable gauge Trump voters’ engagement in elections, today pointed to a new poll from Rasmussen.  That poll shows us that Fetterman is losing ground in Pennsylvania to Dr. Oz, as is Shapiro to Mastriano.  The latter is now within the margin of error, and it’s very close to the margin of error for the Senate race.

This is buttressed by another poll that shows Trump leading Biden by seven(7) points in Pennsylvania if the election were held today:

Another polling outfit worth your attention is Robert Cahaly’s Trafalgar Group.  They now have a poll showing longtime Senate Democrat Patty Murray in the state of Washington in surprisingly close contest, now within three(3) points.  Yes, Washington!

Democrats understand that this is a turn-out election, as are most midterms.  They know that the path to victory with their weak candidates comes down to a matter of margins.  They must suppress the turn-out of the republicans, and they must muddy the waters in any way they can. Once you realize this, everything they’re doing makes sense. What this should mean to conservatives, republicans, and MAGA voters is the following:

A so-called “red wave” is entirely possible. To come to fruition, however, Republicans are going to need to win the close races, which will be many. If Republican candidates can win all of the close races, they can flip both the House and the Senate, and finally put restraint on Biden’s ridiculous, tyrannical regime.  It will be a battle at the margins, and what this means is getting aligned folk to the polls, and protecting the vote, while ignoring the media and nonsense suppression polls.  This is all more difficult that people might think.  The Democrats have a well-oiled machine of people who know how to run and rig elections, and they’re experts at the cheat.  To overcome them, the best solution is to numerically overwhelm them.  There’s only one way to do that, effectively, and that’s to do the hard work of getting out the vote.

The answer is obvious, and that it’s not an easy solution should not deter you. The truth is that a so-called “red wave” is within reach. The difficulty is that it will take more than passive navel-gazing to obtain it.  This is the time for patriotic men and women to stand up, and to get their otherwise-engaged brethren to stand up as well. We face two detriments, and they are: Low Information Voters, and Low Engagement Voters. If you want to defeat these demons now running our country, we have the ability to do so, however, it is going to require informing the LIVs and motivating the LEVs.

This is why the attacks are on you and on Trump. They may become so desperate as to even contemplate indicting and perp-walking Trump.  All of it will be intended to affect the outcome in November.  Remember, “if it happens in an election year, it’s about the election.” Everything they’re doing is aimed at maintaining and consolidating their power.  Your only alternative is to strip them of power.  It’s really as simple as that.  It’s time to do the work.  It’s time to ignore their ridiculous attempts to suppress your votes and your activism.  They also hope to provoke you to violence.  Don’t fall for that.  Don’t fall for any of it.  Their fake polls, their fake Department of [In]Justice, their creepy, biased, corrupt FBI, all of it, every stitch of it, is being leveraged for this election.  They’re rigging numbers on the economy. They’re propping up everything they can in an attempt to downplay the catastrophe they’ve created.  They’re hanging on by their fingertips, hoping to be able to fool the American people, and to maintain their control just a little longer.  There’s almost nothing they won’t do.  Of course, there’s nothing new about that, except for the intensity of their willingness. They are desperate.  Biden’s ugly speech in Pennsylvania on Thursday should have made that clear.

New Poll: Gingrich Leads in Florida

Monday, January 23rd, 2012

In a confirmation of the South Carolina results, at least for the moment, Gingrich is leading in Florida.  It remains to be seen if this will hold through the Florida primary next week, but at present, it seems Newt Gingrich is leading, and the Rasmussen Poll released this morning points to a surge on Newt’s behalf.

From the Rasmussen poll results:

“The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Florida Republican Primary Voters, taken Sunday evening, finds Gingrich earning 41% of the vote with Romney in second at 32%. Former U.S. Senator Rick Santorum runs third with 11%, while Texas Congressman Ron Paul attracts support from eight percent (8%). Nine percent (9%) remain undecided.”

This is good news for Gingrich, because it suggests that if he can maintain this lead, and capture even a portion of the undecideds, he can defeat Romney irrespective of any edge Romney may find among undecideds.  Of course, there are two debates between now and the primary, the first Monday night, but if Gingrich can pull off a win in either, he will tend to confirm what voters think.  Expectations are part of the debate game, however, and Gingrich’s excellent performances last week have set what may be an unreasonably high bar.  Nobody can be on the top of their game every time out.

Rasmussen: Gingrich Closing On Romney (Updated)

Wednesday, January 18th, 2012

Newt Gaining Ground

A new Rasmussen Poll shows Newt Gingrich suddenly closing on Mitt Romney, within real striking distance now, as Gingrich is now at 27%, to Romney’s 30%.  That’s substantial closure, and if this translates into movement in South Carolina over the next few days, Romney will be in trouble.  Of course, as I reported earlier today, Romney has a remedy, and his campaign is already cranking up the “Newt is unreliable and zany” meme.  It’s another reason people should be wary of what’s coming out of the Romney campaign in the run-up to the South Carolina primary, and it’s now intensifying.

According to the Rasmussen poll:

“The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters nationwide shows Romney with 30% support and Gingrich with 27% of the vote. Former U.S. Senator Rick Santorum, who was running second two weeks ago, has now dropped to 15%.”

That’s a good deal of movement, and they stress this point as follows:

“But the story in the new numbers, taken Tuesday night, is Gingrich’s jump 11 points from 16% two weeks ago. Romney’s support is essentially unchanged from 29% at that time, while Santorum is down six points from 21%. Paul’s and Perry’s support is also unchanged. Former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman earned four percent (4%) of the vote at the start of the month but dropped out of the race this week. This suggests that many voters are still looking for an alternative to Romney and currently see Gingrich as that candidate.”

This has always been the case:  Conservatives are looking for a non-Romney candidate, and Romney’s strategy has been to attack whomever the leading non-Romney may be at the moment.  We’ve watched the progression over the last year, and it’s predictable.  Much of the gains by Gingrich is suspected to be related to his tremendous performance in Monday’s debate.

I’m of a mind to agree with former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin, who wants to see this nomination battle play out over a longer period so we can more fully examine the records of the candidates.  I think that Romney is only now really beginning to be looked at by the media, and he certainly seems to have more warts than once believed.  If we’re going to defeat Obama in 2012, we’ll need a candidate who can withstand the onslaught we all know will be forthcoming as Obama seeks to retain power so as to continue his “fundamental transformation.”  It’s my own belief that Romney can’t beat Obama under current circumstances, bad as we may perceive it to be, and putting up a weak candidate will not help our cause.

Update: Romney already going after Gingrich